Search Results for iraqi-economy

Abstract

The economic misery index is one of the indicators that are used to determine the extent of the bad or quality of the overall economic performance and the extent of the economic well-being of the citizens of the country. Iraq due to the economic conditions that the country is exposed to, which was reflected in the time periods included in the study of the misery index in the Iraqi economy. One of the most important findings of the research is that the Iraqi economy went through two important stages during the study period extending from 1990 to 2018 in measuring the economic misery index, as it witnessed fluctuation in these stages between rise and fall due to the economic conditions that the Iraqi economy went through from siege and war. And the state is able to reduce the causes of this problem by working to reduce the rates of economic misery by creating a clear economic vision for the advancement of the Iraqi economy to achieve the well-being of all members of Iraqi society and improve their quality of life.

Abstract

The Iraqi economy has known the phenomenon of foreign currency substitution since the eighties, with the increasing deterioration of the value of the Iraqi dinar and the appearance of signs of rapid inflation. Its actual expansion began with the phase of imposing the economic blockade in the nineties. Despite the decline in inflation rates following the phase of the economic blockade, the political, economic, and security turmoil After 2004, it was negatively affected by high inflation rates, especially during the period (2004-2007), which was reflected in the use of the US dollar as a tool to measure future payments, then a store of value, and then a medium of exchange in transactions that take place locally. Our study attempts to identify the phenomenon of foreign currency substitution in all its meanings and its relationship to inflation. Verifying the phenomenon of foreign currency substitution and determining its reality in the Iraqi economy during the period (2004-2022) In order to achieve the goal, the study adopted the inductive approach in analyzing the phenomenon under study, used the descriptive analysis method, and chose the correlation model to analyze the data and reach the results. After following the International Monetary Fund index in measuring foreign currency substitution represented by dividing deposits in foreign currency by the broad money supply, the study concluded There is a direct relationship between the inflation rate and the rate of foreign currency replacement in the Iraqi economy, with a strong direct correlation rate of (0.70) Therefore, the phenomenon of foreign currency substitution must be taken into consideration and the necessary measures taken to reduce it, especially through policies to stabilize inflation rates at low levels and search for another way to price crude oil instead of the US dollar, and let it be a basket of foreign currencies in order to reduce the linkage of the Iraqi economy to the dollar

Abstract

As a result of the transformation process that the Iraqi economy witnessed after 2003 towards the application of the market economy mechanism in line with the developments witnessed by the global economy in application of the policy of openness, which contributed to the emergence of the phenomenon of commercial dumping, which caused severe effects on the main sectors of the Iraqi economy (agricultural and industrial), which led to an increase  Inflation and unemployment rates and the increase in the tendency to consume, which is reflected in the increase in the volume of Iraqi imports after 2003 in the absence of legislation and laws that protect national products and regulate import operations as a result of the apparent weakness in the control bodies and the absence of the development plan for finding solutions to reduce the effects of the phenomenon of trade dumping

Abstract

The aim of the research is to review the relationship between industry and structural change in the Iraqi economy after 2003, which is marred by deviation,This required relying on the deductive approach and using the descriptive theoretical and analytical method for the purpose of verifying the validity of the hypothesis.
The research concluded that the role of industry is weak in bringing about change in the productive structure of the Iraqi economy during the research period and The reason for this is due to the imbalance in the production structure due to the limited contribution of the productive sectors in contrast to the dominance of the oil sector over its contribution to the output.
Accordingly, we see the necessity of adopting an unbalanced growth strategy by making the industrial sector the leader for development in order to increase its share in the output to initiate the change of the productive structure and the development of the local economy.

Abstract

Depleted resources have an important role in achieving sustainable development, by pushing the production process and achieving stability, growth and economic development in both the economic and social fields, but they affect the environment in varying proportions, as they represent the greatest danger in polluting the environment and its surroundings, especially oil and coal. This is what made the need to search for alternative sources and resources to achieve sustainable development, the preoccupation of many countries that depend on one resource, and the best example of this is Iraq and Algeria,Which depleted resources represent approximately 98%  of its income resulting from the export of hydrocarbons, and the importance of this research comes from studying that depleted natural resources because of their great and distinguished role in economic growth and thus on sustainable economic development, by exploiting these resources and investing their returns through The way to support the productive sectors for the current generations to benefit from and to ensure the future of subsequent generations. The research started from a problem that is, is it possible to rely on depleted resources in achieving sustainable development,Is there a relationship between the size of those resources and the degree of achieving sustainable development, and the goal of this research stems from analyzing and measuring the relationship between depleted resources and indicators of sustainable development, and thus providing proposed solutions to address the imbalance between these variables in the Iraqi economy, as well as providing suggestions or recommendations in order to overcome obstacles that obstruct the process of sustainable development and address the problems of the economy, including the Iraqi economy

It also stems from the premise that it is not possible to rely on the revenues of depleted resources in achieving sustainable development in the Iraqi economy unless a large set of conditions and economic, institutional and societal reforms are available, in order to arrive at identifying the problem of the study, analyzing it and developing appropriate solutions to it. And standard, as well as analyzing the standard relationship to show the impact of depleted resources revenues on sustainable development indicators, and the use of various data and information necessary to reach the results of the study (research)The study concluded that the rational exploitation and management of  delectable resources in the service of development is one of the most important criteria associated with achieving sustainable development, especially with regard to  protecting the atmosphere from sources of pollution resulting from the use of energy in economic and social activities, especially in the transport and industry sector. The environment and development the emergence of sustainable development, which aims to pay attention to the interrelationship between man and his natural surroundings, and between society and its development. and limitations and obstacles encountered Unbalanced development has also led to the emergence of environmental problems in various fields, such as the increase in pollution and its impact on the quality of life, and the irrational exploitation of natural resources, including those that are depletable.

Abstract

The study aimed to analyze indicators of financial discipline and measure the effects of those indicators on monetary stability in the Iraqi economy, based on quarterly data for a time series for the period (2004-2020), through the use of cointegration methodology and the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) after Performing a time series quiescence test (KPSS). A long and positive relationship between indicators of financial discipline (debt ratio to GDP, foreign reserves and money supply to GDP) and monetary stability. The study recommended the need to adhere to the rules of financial discipline to maintain the exchange rate by increasing the domestic production base, increasing non-oil exports and reducing dependence on the currency selling window that drains foreign reserves, as well as the need to switch to (E-government), which aims to achieve financial discipline within the country, Enhancing the exchange rate of the Iraqi dinar and enhancing the competitiveness of non-oil sectors such as industry and agriculture in increasing Iraqi exports.

Abstract

The research aims to test a hypotheses explaining the behavior of commercial banks towards government borrowing in the Iraqi economy on the one hand and the effect of internal government borrowing on bank credit. government borrowing on bank credit. The lazy bank hypothesis is one of the explanations for banking behavior, it believe a continuous increase in government borrowing from commercial banks can create a risk that leads banks to reduce their lending to the risky private sector compared to granting loans to the public (government) sector and thus eliminates their incentives to search for new profitable opportunities To invest in the private sector.
The effect of crowding out means that the rise in government sector spending leads to a decrease in private spending or sometimes even cancellation. The main reason for crowding out is to reduce the government deficit if the government borrows from the market to fill this deficit so the demand for investment in the market increases and the value of money in the market increases automatically And the interest rate increases. Using a method of Co-integration and a Error Correction Model to measure the relationship between internal government borrowing and credit in a short and long term for the period Jan. 2006-May 2020 monthly data . the results of the econometric model supported this hypothesis, which reflects negatively on the size and effectiveness of the private sector and its role in the Iraqi economy

Abstract

The study targeted a critical issue in the Iraqi economy, represented by the challenges facing political and economic decision-makers in supporting the Iraqi industry. The study analyzed the government logistical support for entrepreneurs and the mechanisms for incubating their small entrepreneurial projects in light of the current challenges (environmental, economic) that prevent the effectiveness of these projects in supporting the national economy.
A questionnaire was designed to the five-point Likert scale and covered four areas (legislation, the economic policies, the financial support, and the advisory services). The questionnaire included twenty questions that reflect the challenges facing the entrepreneurship and the entrepreneurs of small entrepreneurship.
A simple random sample was drawn based on the rule of (100) observations from the community of entrepreneurs whose entrepreneurial projects fall under the Industrial Development Directorate at the Ministry of Industry and the Central Bank of Iraq. The survey results indicated the small entrepreneurial projects effectively supporting the national industry could achieve by integrating the incubate mechanisms of these projects with government logistical support to sustain their growth and effectiveness in the Iraqi economy.

Abstract

The research evaluated the performance of the Iraqi economy for the period 1991-2021, and the extent of the success of the fiscal and monetary policies in achieving the desired goals, by analyzing the developments that occurred in the main macroeconomic variables included in the Kaldor square (economic growth rate, foreign trade balance, inflation rate, Unemployment rate), and an attempt to determine the causes of these developments and the circumstances surrounding them, and then compare them with the optimal goals specified in the Kaldor square to show the extent to which they have been achieved. The research was based on the hypothesis that the macroeconomic performance in Iraq during the aforementioned period is far from the possibility of achieving the combined goals of the Kaldor square, and even if they were partially achieved, they would not be economically meaningful. To complete the research steps, the descriptive analytical method was adopted to study and analyze the developments that occurred in the variables under study. Among the challenges that the researcher faced during the study was the scarcity or inaccuracy of data related to the case study. The researcher reached a number of conclusions, the most prominent of which was proving the validity of the research hypothesis. The most prominent recommendations were the necessity of diversifying the economy and reducing dependence on oil, as well as reconsidering the central bank’s policy to achieve price stability by taking the competitiveness of local products into account.

Abstract

The study aims to shed light on the spread of the phenomenon of drug use and trafficking in Iraqi society in the recent period, and its impact on the Iraqi economy in general and on achieving the goals of sustainable development in Iraqi society. One of the most important effects of drug use and trafficking is the economic effects.

A questionnaire was used on a random sample of young people in Babylon Governorate, and 300 questionnaire lists were distributed. The study concluded that the phenomenon of drug use and trafficking is a widespread phenomenon, and is a problem that threatens Iraqi society, especially the youth category, and there is a steady increase in the percentage of drug users and dealers.

Drug use and trafficking greatly affects the achievement of economic development goals, which leads to an increase in the rate of poverty and unemployment in society.

The study recommends working to impose strict control over drug smuggling and trafficking in local markets, and monitoring cafes, squares, and markets that constitute a center for drug use and trafficking.

Abstract

The concept of sustainability is concerned with the indicators that can be relied upon in estimating the sustainability of the economy at the macro level and what is related to it.  Financial sustainability, on the other hand , focuses on public debt and its potential positive effects if used efficiently in financing the resource gap, or negative if Limit yourself to financing current consumption.

As far as the matter is concerned with the Iraqi economy, the rentier nature of the economy has spared the economy from resorting to public debt for the purposes of covering the “gap of resources”, and resorting to it was limited in times of crisis, preserving ad hoc attitude, away from its supposed role in achieving sustainable development. The aim of this paper is to examine the economic implications of financial sustainability and its projection on the Iraqi situation, while the research problem was to investigate the economic significance of the indicators in terms of their qualitative difference in the rentier developing economy such as Iraq.   The paper reached conclusions in correspondence with its problem and hypothesis

Abstract

The paper examines the impact of the devaluation of Iraqi dinar in stimulating the gross domestic product, after the devaluation of Iraqi dinar at the end of 2020. In this context, empirical studies and international experiences have been used. Taking into consideration the rentier economy in Iraq and the dependence of the local market on imported goods in order to meet the aggregate demand.
The paper relies on official data and methods of economic analysis. The research problem represented by the weak effectiveness of the previous exchange rate policy in stimulating output and diversifying the Iraqi economy, as well as sacrificing foreign reserves and directing them towards the non-productive commercial sector.
The research concluded that stimulating the GDP through devaluation of Iraqi currency requires the availability of supportive and prudent fiscal and trade policies in the medium and long term. The paper recommends addressing the short-term inflationary effects created by a policy of devaluation of the exchange rate

Abstract

This paper examined the channels by which the effect of monetary policy is transmitted to macroeconomics in Iraq using one of the dynamic random general equilibrium models (DSGE, smets and wouters 2007). The study shows a general equilibrium model and analyzes precisely the channels of impact transmission and their effects, via a range of instruments used by the monetary authority through the mechanism of transmission of the effect of Iraqi monetary policy to some macroeconomic variables. This is illustrated by inflation targeting through the nominal fixed (exchange rate) through the foreign currency sale window , and the reason for using the exchange rate as a nominal constant is due to the financial shallowness suffered by the Iraqi economy and the separation of monetary behavior from the real behavior in the economy, as well as the absence of focus on a direction to the potential output (the level of natural unemployment rate), which led to the weakness of the impact of the Iraqi central tools in macroeconomic variables without monetary variables, and the research reached the effectiveness of the exchange rate channel without other channels to transmit the impact of monetary policy to the macroeconomic variables in Iraq, and this is what made the monetary authority stick to a policy The window of selling foreign currency for its ability to control liquidity levels and sterilize the economy from the undisciplined economic policies of the macroeconomic management partners in Iraq.            

Abstract

The purpose of this research is to study the impact of the presence of ISIS in Iraq on the reputation of joint-stock companies in this country. For this purpose, the accepted reputation of companies in the Iraqi Stock Exchange was measured through a regression model and using the hypothetical variable regarding the presence of ISIS in Iraq, the topic was investigated.

The method of conducting this research is descriptive-correlational, and the selected sample includes 35 companies that were listed on the Iraqi stock market during the years 2013 to 2018. The research hypotheses were tested using a multiple logistic regression model based on panel data.

   The results of this research indicate that there is a significant relationship between the presence of ISIS in Iraq and the reputation of companies accepted on the stock exchange of this country, which means that the reputation of companies on the Iraqi stock exchange decreased with the presence of ISIS in Iraq.

Keywords: company reputation, ISIS, Iraqi economy, logistic regression.

Abstract

 In many economic relations, there are correlations between variables that affect each other, including the reciprocal relationship between the budget deficit and exchange rate fluctuations, especially in developing countries, including Iraq, which suffer from problems in the general budget that may be chronic, and this deficit is caused by continuing In increasing public expenditures in exchange for a decrease in public revenues, especially that the Iraqi economy is almost completely dependent on the oil sector, And due to the fluctuation of oil prices and its impact on the volume of imports, which negatively affected the state’s general budget, the study included three main sections. The first topic represents the theoretical framework of the exchange rate and the public budget deficit, and the second topic is the relationship between the exchange rate and the general budget deficit in Iraq for the period (1990-2019). While the third topic dealt with the standard analysis of the relationship between the two variables mentioned above, the study concluded that there is a one-way causal relationship between the two variables of the model, where the exchange rate is due to a deficit in the public budget in the long term

Abstract

The research aims to demonstrate the role of sustainable budget requirements in improving the Iraqi financial situation through the use of a set of requirements to be relied upon when preparing the budget, and to achieve the objectives of the research, a study was conducted of the indicators of the Iraqi economy for the years (2004-2021). A set of conclusions and recommendations were reached, the most prominent of which is that Iraq relies heavily on non-renewable financial resources, and this exposes its economy more to financial crises as a result of fluctuating prices of non-renewable resources. Accordingly, it is necessary to find renewable financial resources that can be relied upon in the event of a recession occurring for non-renewable resources. As a large proportion of Iraq's resources go to pay off debts because of its heavy dependence on these resources, the prices of which fluctuate from one period to another, as happened in the years (2008, 2016, 2020). Therefore, attention must be paid to the requirements of the sustainable budget because of their significant role in reviving the Iraqi financial situation. The research also recommends Iraq's interest in renewable financial resources because it represents an important alternative that can be resorted to in the event of fluctuating oil prices instead of relying on debt.

Abstract

يأتي هذا البحث ليحلل أثر بيئة الأعمال والاستثمار في عملية الجذب الاستثماري وانعكاساته على تدفقات الاستثمارات الأجنبية المباشرة، علاوة على قياس فجوة الأداء في جذب الاستثمار بين العراق والدول الخليجية والدول المتقدمة، وبيان نقاط الضعف والتحديات التي تواجه بيئة الأعمال والاستثمار، واقتراح السبل الكفيلة للارتقاء بأداء الأعمال ومناخ الاستثمار بالدولة، وكذلك الرفع من ترتيب جمهورية العراق في مؤشر أداء الأعمال ومؤشر ضمان لجاذبية الاستثمار الأجنبي المباشر.

Abstract

Creating the right environment is one of the most important factors for attracting capital and investors. Also, the requirements that attract investment may be related to such as the availability of manpower, natural resources and market needs, and these are present in Iraq. There are requirements that the state must provide through appropriate legislation and laws, which require clarity and simplification, in addition to security and political stability because the capital operates in safe and stable conditions. Investment is of great importance to the Iraqi economy, for its role in the development and transfer of technology and modern technologies to contribute to the development of Iraq, increase and diversify its production base, and bypass the unilateral aspect that depends entirely on the export of crude oil, there are some obstacles that still remain and need to be resolved. Some obstacles to foreign investment in Iraq. The objective of the study is knowing the obstacles of the Iraqi investment environment

Abstract

Foreign trade is an important component of any country's economy because it reflects the extent of the interdependence of this country, the extent of its relations with the countries of the other world, the extent to which mutual benefits are, achieved between these countries and the relative advantages achieved for each country. The customs tariff, as a financial and protectionist tool, has an important role in influencing the balance of payments through the trade balance. Any country that suffers from a deficit in the trade balance, especially developing countries due to the high volume of imports over exports, resorts to the customs tariff because it is the easiest and safest tool to treat this deficit whose effects on The balance of payments as well as the amount of existing foreign exchange reserves to be able to fill the deficit in the remaining balance of payments accounts, such as the financial account, for example,

There is no doubt that the customs tariff exerts an indirect influence on the movement of local investments by giving allowances or emphasizing the import of raw materials or by imposing high tariffs on foreign investors so that the local investor can protect himself and secure his investments inside the country, and this was reversed in a hypothetical indicator To clarify the effect of the tariff on these investments, the research reached an important conclusion, which is the weak effect of the customs tariff on the overall macroeconomic variables due to the weak awareness of the economic authority of the importance of this element and that the trade openness had a negative impact on foreign trade, the expansion of the import structure, and the stability of the structure of exports. The recommendations stipulated in the research is to activate the social and economic role of the tariff by directing customs revenues towards supporting and strengthening the economic sectors to confront foreign competition

Abstract

This research seeks to address by analyzing the symmetrical imbalances between the economy and the status of the current account and what is implied by the significance of the relative importance of the current account in the balance of payments on the one hand within the framework of the internal / external overlap of developing economies in general and  Iraq , as a case study  to examine the extent of the reflection of the local economic structure on the characteristics of the current account

There are types of imbalances in the balance of payments related to the structural characteristics of the economy i, meaning that they represent a reflection of the imbalance in its production structures, and this imbalance, namely, in the current account takes a directional turn over a long time period related to the process of economic development and its success or failure in achieving the required structural changes

The research concluded that its hypothesis is correct as far as it is concerned with Iraq and that there is a symmetry between the internal/external structural imbalance that has deteriorated in the current account, especially the trade balance, and this imbalance has taken a hidden form as a surplus in the case of the rentier economy.  It concluded that economic administration has no choice but to restructure the Iraqi economy in favor of other production sectors, as well as financing and rehabilitating infrastructure projects, in addition to striving to attract foreign investment and working to expand production capacities and reduce dependence on oil as a main source of national income.

Abstract

The research aimed to shed light on the most important reasons that led to the spread of expatriate workers in Iraq and their role in economic, development. The problem of the research was to know the most important reasons for the movement of expatriate workers and how this labor affects economic activity. The research hypothesis was that expatriate workers have impacts, whether Positive or negative on many macroeconomic variables such as employment, unemployment, and gross domestic product. The research was determined spatially in Iraq and for the period between 2013-2022. The research relied on the inductive approach based on the descriptive method. The most important conclusions reached by the research were the acquisition of expatriate workers on Most of the job opportunities are available in Iraq, especially after the openness that Iraq witnessed after 2003 AD, and employers have sought help from them significantly due to their low wages and the ability to work long hours compared to Iraqi workers. The most important recommendations were the necessity of developing laws that control the income of these workers, and imposing an income tax because a large portion of the income of these workers is transferred to their homes, which negatively affects the Iraqi economy.

Abstract

Private investment is the cornerstone of building the economies of developed and developing countries by supporting productive activities and increasing economic growth and development. This research aims to identify the positive impact of the private sector on improving the Iraqi economy and increasing the gross domestic product (GDP), which is reflected in reduced unemployment and poverty, especially during years of financial and economic crises. Despite the problems facing the private sector and its low investment, it remains the primary driver of economic growth. Given the importance of the topic, the research aims to identify the impact of private investment on economic growth in Iraq for the period (2004-2022) using advanced standard methods and approaches, including unit root tests, cointegration, the error correction model (ECM), and the immediate response function. The study found a relationship between private investment and economic growth in the short term, and an inverse relationship in the long term.

Abstract

يقوم البحث على فرضية مفادها، إن ستراتيجية التوطن الصناعي في العراق ذات تأثير ضعيف على متطلبات التنمية ، بسبب ضعف الترابطات الأمامية والخلفية للصناعات القائمة و لقلة مراعاة شروط التوطن ومعاييره .
وأما هدف البحث ، فيكمن في تسليط الضوء على رقعة التوطن الصناعي المنتشرة ففي العراق و المعيار الأفضل للتوطن الذي يمكن تطبيقه ، كذلك مدى تلاءم التوطن الصناعي مع مستوى البنية المكانية للعراق في محاولة لإعطاء منظور قائم على التعامل الايجابي مع هذه البنية بما تمتلكه من إمكانات تنموية

Abstract

Public spending is one of the most important tools used by governments to achieve their economic and social goals, studying the relationship between public spending and inflation in Iraq is one of the important and vital topics, especially in light of the challenges facing the Iraqi economy such as oil price fluctuations and thus fluctuations in financial revenues, and the correct public spending management through which inflation rates can be monitored and controlled.

The research aimed to measure and analyze the impact of public spending on inflation in Iraq through the use of modern standard methods where the threshold model was used (Threshold Regression), as the research found that there are four thresholds during the research period, in the first threshold the relationship was positive between public spending and the inflation rate when the inflation rate is less than (3.699%), and that the increase in public spending by one unit It will lead to an increase in the inflation rate by (0.040%) before reaching this threshold, but in the value of the second threshold of inflation and after exceeding the rate of (3.699%), it is less than (4.399%) and that increasing  public spending by one unit will also lead to an increase in the inflation rate by (0.216%) before reaching this threshold, while the third threshold for the inflation rate after exceeding the rate of (4.399%), which is less than (6.399%) and that Increasing public spending by one unit will lead to an increase in the inflation rate by (40.26%) before reaching this threshold, while the fourth and last threshold for an inflation rate is greater than or equal to (6.399%), and that increasing public spending by one unit will lead to an increase in the inflation rate by (0.419%) before reaching this threshold. The research concluded with a number of proposals, the most prominent of which is the need for decision-makers to follow up the levels of public spending carefully at low spending levels. There may not be a significant impact on inflation in the future, and monitoring spending at high levels, there may be a significant impact that requires arbitrary policies to prevent hyperinflation.

Abstract

The role of small and medium enterprises is essential in economic and social development and is the focus of attention of governments and international organizations, most notably the United Nations Industrial Development Organization. Their importance increases in developing countries because they represent the only realistic prospects for economic development and an effective tool for addressing the problem of unemployment and poverty there. The research aims to clarify the concept of small and medium enterprises and their role in achieving comprehensive economic and social development in Iraq in the current and future stages. The descriptive and deductive approaches were followed, in an attempt to link small and medium enterprises and sustainable development in the Iraqi economy in this research. Small and medium enterprises face a number of obstacles that limit their contribution and effectiveness in sustainable development in Iraq, then explaining the most important details in order to develop appropriate solutions for them. In this research, we will focus on several concepts for small and medium enterprises and shed light on the most important conclusions, including that the private sector of small and medium enterprises is in dire and necessary need of government support to be able to advance and develop. In conclusion, a number of recommendations were presented for the development of small and medium enterprises, and we hope that they will be of assistance in the research topic, including the urgent need for the Iraqi government to play an important role in creating supportive regulatory frameworks through collective funds and other mechanisms, establishing microfinance units in the Ministry of Trade and the Central Bank of Iraq to provide the necessary consultations for the work of small projects.

Abstract

يهدف البحث الى معرفة اثر تقلبات اسعار النفط العالمية على الاقتصاد العراقي اذ ان الاقتصاد العراقي اقتصاد ريعي يعتمد بشكل اساسي على النفط وهو اقتصاد احادي الجانب ونتيجة للظروف الاقتصادية والسياسية التي مر بها الواقع الاقتصادي العراقي فانه يعاني من ضعف في بناه التحتية واختلال في هياكله ويعاني من مشاكل عديدة مثل الكساد والتضخم وغيرها من المشاكل التي تؤثر على تطوره وازدهاره، وتعد عوائد النفط المصدر الرئيسي ان لم يكن المصدر الوحيد لتمويل برامج التنمية والانفاق الاستثماري الحكومي مما جعله عرضة للصدمات الخارجية الناتجة عن تقلبات اسعار النفط على المستوى العالمي وان لتطورات اسعار النفط انعكاسات واضحة على الايرادات النفطية فارتفاع اسعار النفط يؤدي الى ارتفاع التدفقات النقدية والذي ينعكس في زيادة مقدرة السلطات المالية على التوسع في الانفاق، ويتضح لنا ان اقتصاد العراقي تأثر ولا زال يتأثر بشكل كبير بالظروف السياسية التي مرت به بل اصبح بكل متغيراته تابع لها وأن لتذبذب وتقلبات اسعار النفط العالمية الاثر الكبير على الاقتصاد العراقي وذلك نتيجة لعدم الاستقرار السياسي والاقتصادي والامني للبلد وتقليص دور القطاعات الاقتصادية الاخرى مثل الزراعة والصناعة والتجارة وان لارتفاع اسعار النفط انعكاسا ايجابيا على اوضاع الموازنة العامة وعلى الاقتصاد العراقي، ويشكل النفط عصب الحياة للاقتصاد العراقي والمصدر الاساسي لتوليد الدخل القومي وتمويل عمليات الاستيراد وبالتالي فان لتقلبات اسعار النفط العالمية الاثر الكبير على الاقتصاد العراقي.

Abstract

This research deals with the complex relationship between fiscal policy tools and exchange rate policy in Iraq. Where the exchange rate is one of the important economic indicators that reflect the state of economic stability of the state, and is greatly affected by changes in fiscal policy, especially in light of excessive dependence on oil revenues and fluctuations in global prices, hence the problem of the study stems from the challenges faced by the Iraqi economy due to its great dependence on oil revenues, which leads to fluctuations in the exchange rate The study seeks to answer how different fiscal policy tools affect exchange rate policy. The study found that public revenues, which rely heavily on oil, play a crucial role in stabilizing the exchange rate. Public spending, whether current or investment, also affects the value of the local currency, as the rise in current spending can lead to inflationary pressures, which increases exchange rate fluctuations, and the impact of both the public budget and public debt on exchange rate policy, as it appears that the fiscal deficit and high public debt can lead to Pressure on the local currency. The study emphasizes the importance of economic diversification and increasing non-oil revenues to ensure the stability of the exchange rate.

Abstract

The industrial policy in Iraq after 2003 contributed to the decline in the sustainability component of economic growth And the lack of economic growth in Iraq to the element of sustainability after 2003, as a result of the continued dependence on crude oil, and the decline in the relative importance of the manufacturing sector in the economic structure, and the trends of economic policies and industrial policy contributed to the exacerbation of this result. The strategies and directions that were put forward after 2003 are based on betting on the private sector and market mechanisms to advance this sector in return for excluding the state and limiting its activity to a purely regulatory framework through the adoption of a horizontal industrial policy. This paper calls for the adoption of a rational, realistic approach to address the problems of the industrial sector, based on combining the role of the market and the role of industrial policy. Market mechanisms alone cannot achieve production efficiency and social justice in light of problems and imbalances, and the presence of high unemployment, as well as the deterioration of the business environment and the weakness of the side. Security and its well-known complexities. The desired reform in which the state should play a balanced and integrated role with the market, especially that the local private sector in Iraq, due to its well-known conditions, needs for a long time the state and its support.

Abstract

China has realized the great importance and the great role of innovation in achieving distinguished industrial performance, so it began to support and encourage it in order to achieve this, and this is what this research tries to measure and prove through a standard study based on annual data for the period (1985-2020), and depending on the statistical program (Eviews 10).
The research recommended some proposals, the most important of which are: China advancing the most important indicators of innovation by increasing spending on research and development and achieving the quality of domestic education for China and not on education abroad. Conformity and integration must be achieved between the most important indicators of innovation, especially with regard to human development (quality education) and patents.
The model variables were (industrial performance log y) is the dependent variable. And (log x1 patents), (log x2 research and development spending), (log x3 education quality) and (log x4 technology progress), are the independent variables.
The results indicated that the complete logarithmic model is the best among other models, and to achieve this goal the research relied on the assumption that innovation achieves distinguished industrial performance in both industrialized and emerging countries, including China. The support and encouragement of innovation indicators had a moral effect in achieving industrial performance in China and achieving economic and social well-being, but this depends on the country's economic situation, strategies and laws adopted and the amount of gross domestic product allocated to support those indicators.
Through the results of joint integration, the research concluded that there is a long-term equilibrium relationship and a short-term response between the research variables, and that there is a significant effect of some indicators and an insignificant effect of other indicators, in addition to the absence of the problem of self-correlation and the problem of heterogeneity of disparity.
The research recommended some proposals, the most important of which is the need for China to raise the most important indicators of innovation by increasing spending on research and development and achieving the quality of local education for China rather than relying on education abroad. It is imperative to achieve harmony and integration between the most important indicators of innovation, especially with regard to human development (quality Education and patents) and among technological advances
The research also recommended that Iraq should study this pioneering experience and make use of it as much as possible for the purpose of modernizing the Iraqi economy,
The research also recommended conducting a future study of the industrialization experience in South Korea because it is a pioneering experiment that deserves to be studied and that it moved South Korea from a developing country to an advanced industrial country that competes with the advanced industrial countries.

Abstract

the Iraqi economy suffers from many problems, it is necessary to go to the banking sector to achieve economic growth, Financing productive projects, mitigating and addressing economic problems, especially the problem of the budget deficit, through the issuance of treasury bonds and debt instruments and granting loans and through the use of financial policy tools such as taxes, in order to achieve economic and social goals, It works to adapt the relationship between the levels of public revenues and public spending, and that the banks' goal is to achieve the highest rate of economic and social well-being by reducing the budget deficit, reducing the burden of public debt, reducing the deficit in the trade balance, and reducing unemployment rates Where banks contribute to revitalizing the stock market by buying stocks and bonds, as the bank has become an indispensable institution in any economic system