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Arabic

Search Results for trade-balance

Article
Evaluating the Performance of the Iraqi Economy Using the Kaldor Square: An Analytical Study for the Period (1991-2021)

Jaafar Al-Husseini

Pages: 22-38

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Abstract

The research evaluated the performance of the Iraqi economy for the period 1991-2021, and the extent of the success of the fiscal and monetary policies in achieving the desired goals, by analyzing the developments that occurred in the main macroeconomic variables included in the Kaldor square (economic growth rate, foreign trade balance, inflation rate, Unemployment rate), and an attempt to determine the causes of these developments and the circumstances surrounding them, and then compare them with the optimal goals specified in the Kaldor square to show the extent to which they have been achieved. The research was based on the hypothesis that the macroeconomic performance in Iraq during the aforementioned period is far from the possibility of achieving the combined goals of the Kaldor square, and even if they were partially achieved, they would not be economically meaningful. To complete the research steps, the descriptive analytical method was adopted to study and analyze the developments that occurred in the variables under study. Among the challenges that the researcher faced during the study was the scarcity or inaccuracy of data related to the case study. The researcher reached a number of conclusions, the most prominent of which was proving the validity of the research hypothesis. The most prominent recommendations were the necessity of diversifying the economy and reducing dependence on oil, as well as reconsidering the central bank’s policy to achieve price stability by taking the competitiveness of local products into account.

Article
The economic effects of tariffs in the Iraqi economy after 2003

رسل Fahdel, عبير Jassim

Pages: 32-48

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Abstract

Foreign trade is an important component of any country's economy because it reflects the extent of the interdependence of this country, the extent of its relations with the countries of the other world, the extent to which mutual benefits are, achieved between these countries and the relative advantages achieved for each country. The customs tariff, as a financial and protectionist tool, has an important role in influencing the balance of payments through the trade balance. Any country that suffers from a deficit in the trade balance, especially developing countries due to the high volume of imports over exports, resorts to the customs tariff because it is the easiest and safest tool to treat this deficit whose effects on The balance of payments as well as the amount of existing foreign exchange reserves to be able to fill the deficit in the remaining balance of payments accounts, such as the financial account, for example,

There is no doubt that the customs tariff exerts an indirect influence on the movement of local investments by giving allowances or emphasizing the import of raw materials or by imposing high tariffs on foreign investors so that the local investor can protect himself and secure his investments inside the country, and this was reversed in a hypothetical indicator To clarify the effect of the tariff on these investments, the research reached an important conclusion, which is the weak effect of the customs tariff on the overall macroeconomic variables due to the weak awareness of the economic authority of the importance of this element and that the trade openness had a negative impact on foreign trade, the expansion of the import structure, and the stability of the structure of exports. The recommendations stipulated in the research is to activate the social and economic role of the tariff by directing customs revenues towards supporting and strengthening the economic sectors to confront foreign competition

Article
Iraqi banking sector: Its economic importance and its relationship to financing the budget deficit

ستار Al-Bayati, ديانا Jasim

Pages: 203-211

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Abstract

the Iraqi economy suffers from many problems, it is necessary to go to the banking sector to achieve economic growth, Financing productive projects, mitigating and addressing economic problems, especially the problem of the budget deficit, through the issuance of treasury bonds and debt instruments and granting loans and through the use of financial policy tools such as taxes, in order to achieve economic and social goals, It works to adapt the relationship between the levels of public revenues and public spending, and that the banks' goal is to achieve the highest rate of economic and social well-being by reducing the budget deficit, reducing the burden of public debt, reducing the deficit in the trade balance, and reducing unemployment rates Where banks contribute to revitalizing the stock market by buying stocks and bonds, as the bank has become an indispensable institution in any economic system

Article
The relative importance of the current account in the balance of payments in terms of the external dimensions of structural imbalance with reference to Iraq

هجير Zaki, ضحى Mahmoud

Pages: 78-90

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Abstract

This research seeks to address by analyzing the symmetrical imbalances between the economy and the status of the current account and what is implied by the significance of the relative importance of the current account in the balance of payments on the one hand within the framework of the internal / external overlap of developing economies in general and  Iraq , as a case study  to examine the extent of the reflection of the local economic structure on the characteristics of the current account

There are types of imbalances in the balance of payments related to the structural characteristics of the economy i, meaning that they represent a reflection of the imbalance in its production structures, and this imbalance, namely, in the current account takes a directional turn over a long time period related to the process of economic development and its success or failure in achieving the required structural changes

The research concluded that its hypothesis is correct as far as it is concerned with Iraq and that there is a symmetry between the internal/external structural imbalance that has deteriorated in the current account, especially the trade balance, and this imbalance has taken a hidden form as a surplus in the case of the rentier economy.  It concluded that economic administration has no choice but to restructure the Iraqi economy in favor of other production sectors, as well as financing and rehabilitating infrastructure projects, in addition to striving to attract foreign investment and working to expand production capacities and reduce dependence on oil as a main source of national income.

Article
The impact of total banking risks on some indicators of economic stability in Iraq using the limits test for the period 2004-2021

Jawad Freih, احمد Batal

Pages: 101-123

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Abstract

The paper aimed to measure the impact of total banking risks and indicate the extent of their impact on economic stability for the period 2004-2021 using the bounds test. Two independent variables were identified to represent banking risks, namely (the ratio of non-performing loans to the total loans, the ratio of non-performing loans to the total capital), as well as Choosing some macroeconomic stability indicators as dependent variables: (bank capital, inflation, net trade balance ratio, net budget ratio, foreign reserves, banking concentration, standard of living). By increasing inflation rates, there is a negative impact of non-performing loans on the total loans and banking spread, as the high default rate of loans leads to a decline in the rate of banking prevalence, and there is a negative impact of non-performing loans on the total loans on the standard of living, as the high default rate of loans leads to To a decline in the average standard of living as a result of not granting loans to the population, and the research recommended that a study of the case of borrowers be considered before granting credit in order to reduce the default rate in loans by providing some guarantees to the banker, the need to use the indicator of the ratio of non-performing loans to total capital as one of the risks Banking that has an impact on the financial soundness of the bank, through what the sum of non-performing loans represents to the capital owned by the bank, and thus gives a clear vision of the capital owned by the bank

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Entrepreneurship Journal for Finance and Business

College of Business Economics at Al-Nahrain University

Print ISSN: 2708-8790 | Online ISSN: 2709-4251

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