Search Results for public-debt
Abstract
The research aims to measure the impact of public budget indicators and institutional quality (the quality of governing institutions in the economy) in reducing public debt for a selected group of Arab countries with renter economies for the period (2002-2023). Two standard models have been built to achieve this goal: The first model focused on measuring the impact of the general budget through its basic indicators represented by public spending and public revenues expressed in tax revenues, with the introduction of the oil price variable as a control variable due to its fundamental importance in explaining the dynamics of public debt in oil economies. The second model focused on measuring the impact of the six institutional quality indicators issued by the World Bank (control of corruption, political stability, government effectiveness, rule of law, voice and issue, and regulatory quality) on public debt. Using static analysis of longitudinal data models represented by its three models (pooled regression model, fixed effects model, and random effects model) for eight Arab oil countries, the research reached a set of results: For general budget indicators, the results showed that reducing public spending can contribute to reducing public debt, while there was no significant effect of oil revenues. While for oil prices, they had an impact in reducing public debt. As for institutional quality indicators, the results showed the impact of (political stability, government effectiveness, voice and issue) on reducing public debt, while the results showed that (control of corruption, rule of law, and regulatory quality) contribute to the accumulation of public debt. Therefore, the results of this research confirm the importance of the financial budget and institutional quality in reducing public debt and its sustainability in the long run.
Abstract
Given the growing public debt burden and the volatility of global oil prices — the primary source of budget revenues — this study examines the economic impact of public debt on sustainable development in Iraq from 1990 to 2022. Using modern econometric models and quarterly time series data, the research analyzes the relationship between domestic and external public debt, economic growth, and sustainable development.
The study aims to identify the short- and long-term effects of public debt on growth and sustainability and clarify how oil price volatility affects this relationship. The results indicate that domestic debt has a less negative impact than external debt. While external debt supports expenditures in the short term, it increases long-term risks due to repayment obligations. The results also indicate weak links between high debt and sustainable development outcomes, reflecting the inefficient use of borrowed resources. Heavy reliance on oil revenues exacerbates the economy's vulnerability to external shocks. The study concluded with a set of recommendations: adopt wise debt management strategies; direct borrowing toward productive and developmental sectors; enhance transparency and institutional efficiency; diversify the economy to reduce dependence on oil; and cooperate with international financial institutions to design debt sustainability policies consistent with the Sustainable Development Goals.
Abstract
This research deals with the complex relationship between fiscal policy tools and exchange rate policy in Iraq. Where the exchange rate is one of the important economic indicators that reflect the state of economic stability of the state, and is greatly affected by changes in fiscal policy, especially in light of excessive dependence on oil revenues and fluctuations in global prices, hence the problem of the study stems from the challenges faced by the Iraqi economy due to its great dependence on oil revenues, which leads to fluctuations in the exchange rate The study seeks to answer how different fiscal policy tools affect exchange rate policy. The study found that public revenues, which rely heavily on oil, play a crucial role in stabilizing the exchange rate. Public spending, whether current or investment, also affects the value of the local currency, as the rise in current spending can lead to inflationary pressures, which increases exchange rate fluctuations, and the impact of both the public budget and public debt on exchange rate policy, as it appears that the fiscal deficit and high public debt can lead to Pressure on the local currency. The study emphasizes the importance of economic diversification and increasing non-oil revenues to ensure the stability of the exchange rate.
Abstract
The concept of sustainability is concerned with the indicators that can be relied upon in estimating the sustainability of the economy at the macro level and what is related to it. Financial sustainability, on the other hand , focuses on public debt and its potential positive effects if used efficiently in financing the resource gap, or negative if Limit yourself to financing current consumption.
As far as the matter is concerned with the Iraqi economy, the rentier nature of the economy has spared the economy from resorting to public debt for the purposes of covering the “gap of resources”, and resorting to it was limited in times of crisis, preserving ad hoc attitude, away from its supposed role in achieving sustainable development. The aim of this paper is to examine the economic implications of financial sustainability and its projection on the Iraqi situation, while the research problem was to investigate the economic significance of the indicators in terms of their qualitative difference in the rentier developing economy such as Iraq. The paper reached conclusions in correspondence with its problem and hypothesis
Abstract
The research includes both theoretical and practical aspects. The study aims to analyze and measure the relationship between public spending (the approved variable) and the explanatory variables in Malaysia during the time period (1990-2020) by using the Autoregressive Distributed Time Gaps (ARDL) methodology using Time Series Data during the study period. In order to achieve this goal, the theoretical aspect of public spending and its components and limits of public spending was shortened, with the presentation of the economic effects of government spending. In addition to clarifying the relationship between economic variables and public spending in Malaysia, then presenting and analyzing the results of quantitative measurement. The research reached many results, the most prominent of which was the existence of a positive significant relationship between government spending and the variables of total fixed capital formation, public debt and population. And a significant inverse relationship between the dependent variable government spending and GDP growth. As a result of these results that emerged from the standard analysis of the model, it is worthwhile for the study country to adopt ways and methods to reduce government spending rates within the limits of public revenues available to each country. The research aims to analyze the impact of macroeconomic variables on government spending, as well as to evaluate the behavior of government spending in Malaysia.
Abstract
The United Arab Emirates has established a distinguished economic and social model characterized by its ability to keep pace with rapid technological and digital transformations, as well as its continuous expansion in investment and development activities. Despite this progress, the UAE remains vulnerable to fluctuations resulting from global economic crises, including the COVID-19 pandemic, which had a substantial impact on financial markets, liquidity levels, and capital mobility.
This study examines the structural characteristics of the UAE economy and its development policies through key macroeconomic indicators, namely gross domestic product (GDP), the inflation rate, and the public debt ratio. It then analyzes the impact of the COVID-19 crisis on the UAE banking system by focusing on Emirates NBD Bank and First Abu Dhabi Bank, based on selected financial indicators, including net profit, return on assets (ROA), and return on equity (ROE).
Among the most important conclusions reached by the study is that the COVID-19 crisis revealed the resilience and efficiency of the UAE banking sector in dealing with the pandemic and achieving an early recovery. This resilience contributed to financial stability and superior profitability for both banks. However, the pace and nature of recovery differed between the two institutions. Emirates NBD Bank achieved the highest levels of profitability and return on assets, while First Abu Dhabi Bank maintained steady growth, reflecting the adoption of a long-term risk management strategy. This diversity in banks’ policies contributes to the creation of a balanced banking system capable of effectively coping with crisis.
As for the key recommendations, the study emphasizes the need to strengthen the role of the banking sector in raising public awareness, as well as monitoring the damages suffered by customers in the aftermath of crises, giving due consideration to their interests, and ensuring the protection of their rights through a comprehensive set of regulatory and supportive measures.
Abstract
the Iraqi economy suffers from many problems, it is necessary to go to the banking sector to achieve economic growth, Financing productive projects, mitigating and addressing economic problems, especially the problem of the budget deficit, through the issuance of treasury bonds and debt instruments and granting loans and through the use of financial policy tools such as taxes, in order to achieve economic and social goals, It works to adapt the relationship between the levels of public revenues and public spending, and that the banks' goal is to achieve the highest rate of economic and social well-being by reducing the budget deficit, reducing the burden of public debt, reducing the deficit in the trade balance, and reducing unemployment rates Where banks contribute to revitalizing the stock market by buying stocks and bonds, as the bank has become an indispensable institution in any economic system
Abstract
The problem of the study stems from the fact that the relationship, whether effect or causation, is not fixed between fiscal policy and economic performance variables, including economic growth and unemployment, as it differs from one country to another, and from time to another time depending on the nature of the economies under study, The study aims to verify empirically about the impact of fiscal policy tools on economic growth and unemployment with determining the direction of the causal relationship of these variables in Jordan for the period (1990-2021). The study used models (Cointegration) for the long-term relationship and vector error correction models (VECM) for the short-term relationship and (Granger) test for the causal relationship. the study concluded that the effect of government consumption spending is negative on economic growth and unemployment, and there is no effect of government investment spending on either economic growth or unemployment, with a causal relationship from government spending, especially consumption, to both economic growth and unemployment, as it found That taxes have a positive effect on economic growth and do not affect unemployment with a causal relationship from taxes to economic growth and unemployment, while the causal relationship was from taxes on income to economic growth and from customs taxes and foreign trade to unemployment, while the causal trend was from economic growth to taxes customs duties and to taxes on foreign trade, these results support the neoclassical point of view in terms of the relationship of influence and support Keynesian law at the expense of Wagner's law regarding causation. As for public debt, its impact was negative on economic growth and positive on unemployment, and the direction of the causal relationship was from debt to economic growth only.