Search Results for gross-domestic-product-gdp-
Abstract
This research aims to analyze the asymmetric impact of the Global Innovation Index (GII) on Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth in South Korea over the period (2004–2024). It further explores the potential for adapting this experience within the economies of Iraq, Egypt, and Jordan. Utilizing a Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (NARDL) model, the study examines the dynamics of this relationship in both the short and long runs. The empirical findings reveal a nonlinear cointegration relationship, indicating that the South Korean economy exhibits hyper-sensitivity toward negative innovation shocks. Specifically, a 1% negative shock in innovation leads to a growth contraction of approximately 1.65%, whereas the growth response to positive shocks does not exceed 0.33%. Furthermore, CUSUM and CUSUMQ tests confirmed the structural stability of the model over two decades. The research concludes that the innovation gap in the studied Arab countries necessitates policies that support innovation budgets to ensure the stability of structural growth parameters, independent of fluctuations in traditional sectors.
Abstract
Private investment is the cornerstone of building the economies of developed and developing countries by supporting productive activities and increasing economic growth and development. This research aims to identify the positive impact of the private sector on improving the Iraqi economy and increasing the gross domestic product (GDP), which is reflected in reduced unemployment and poverty, especially during years of financial and economic crises. Despite the problems facing the private sector and its low investment, it remains the primary driver of economic growth. Given the importance of the topic, the research aims to identify the impact of private investment on economic growth in Iraq for the period (2004-2022) using advanced standard methods and approaches, including unit root tests, cointegration, the error correction model (ECM), and the immediate response function. The study found a relationship between private investment and economic growth in the short term, and an inverse relationship in the long term.
Abstract
This study examined the impact of a rentier economy on the independence of monetary policy in Iraq after 2004, considering Iraq as a rentier state that relies heavily on oil revenues. The study included an analysis of the relationship between the rentier economy and monetary policy, as well as the effects of the rentier economy on the independence of monetary policy. It found that dependence on oil to finance public expenditures leads to a reduction in monetary policy independence.
The results showed that the rentier economy has a significant impact on the independence of monetary policy in Iraq, and that there is a pressing need to diversify the economy and reduce reliance on oil in order to mitigate the risks arising from fluctuations in oil prices, which affect state revenues. Consequently, when the government faces a deficit, it compels the central bank to adopt an expansionary monetary policy to finance this deficit, which in turn undermines monetary policy independence.
The study reached a number of conclusions and recommendations that the researcher believes are aimed at strengthening the independence of monetary policy in rentier states.
Abstract
The United Arab Emirates has established a distinguished economic and social model characterized by its ability to keep pace with rapid technological and digital transformations, as well as its continuous expansion in investment and development activities. Despite this progress, the UAE remains vulnerable to fluctuations resulting from global economic crises, including the COVID-19 pandemic, which had a substantial impact on financial markets, liquidity levels, and capital mobility.
This study examines the structural characteristics of the UAE economy and its development policies through key macroeconomic indicators, namely gross domestic product (GDP), the inflation rate, and the public debt ratio. It then analyzes the impact of the COVID-19 crisis on the UAE banking system by focusing on Emirates NBD Bank and First Abu Dhabi Bank, based on selected financial indicators, including net profit, return on assets (ROA), and return on equity (ROE).
Among the most important conclusions reached by the study is that the COVID-19 crisis revealed the resilience and efficiency of the UAE banking sector in dealing with the pandemic and achieving an early recovery. This resilience contributed to financial stability and superior profitability for both banks. However, the pace and nature of recovery differed between the two institutions. Emirates NBD Bank achieved the highest levels of profitability and return on assets, while First Abu Dhabi Bank maintained steady growth, reflecting the adoption of a long-term risk management strategy. This diversity in banks’ policies contributes to the creation of a balanced banking system capable of effectively coping with crisis.
As for the key recommendations, the study emphasizes the need to strengthen the role of the banking sector in raising public awareness, as well as monitoring the damages suffered by customers in the aftermath of crises, giving due consideration to their interests, and ensuring the protection of their rights through a comprehensive set of regulatory and supportive measures.
Abstract
This research paper aims to analyze and measure the impact of Financial Technology (FinTech) spread on enhancing tax collection performance and mitigating tax evasion in Iraq over the period 2018–2022. The study adopts both descriptive-analytical and econometric approaches. A composite index—the Digital Financial Services Spread Index (DFSDI)—was constructed as the independent variable based on the density of Automated Teller Machines (ATMs), Point of Sale (POS) terminals, and Point of Card (POC) payment devices, using the Min-Max normalization method. Tax collection performance (the dependent variable) was measured indirectly through the ratio of tax revenues to non-oil Gross Domestic Product (GDP). The empirical results using Pearson correlation analysis and Simple Linear Regression showed no statistically significant relationship or impact of the DFSDI index on the tax collection ratio at a significance level of )alpha = 0.05( The correlation coefficient was )r = -0.541( with a )p-value of 0.346(, and the coefficient of determination was )R2 = 0.293( with an statistically insignificant slope coefficient of )beta = -2.297( (p=0.346). Consequently, the null hypothesis (H0) was not rejected. The economic interpretation suggests that while the expansion of digital financial services infrastructure serves as an enabling tool, it does not automatically translate into improved tax collection without direct integration and electronic linkage with tax administration processes such as e-invoicing, e-filing, automated tax payments, and database cross-checking—alongside limitations imposed by the short time series. The paper concludes that FinTech adoption must be part of a comprehensive tax reform strategy incorporating direct digitalization and institutional integration