Search Results for gdp

Abstract

The research aims towards measuring the impact of the development of the banking industry on sustainable development, especially after the development of the banking industry in recent years and the transition to digital banking services that have      achieved great profits for the banking industry     by applying it to the Iraqi banking industry during the period                                                                              

 (2004-2020), using the ARDL model, where the research deals with measuring the impact of the development of the banking industry represented by the independent variables (credit provided to the private sector to GDP,                                                                                                                                  

Total deposits to GDP, and money supply to GDP) on sustainable development, which is achieved through key indicators, which are economic indicators, social indicators, environmental indicators, and institutional indicators, where these approved variables were expressed through indicators (per capita GDP, population ratio in regions urbanization, change in forest area, spending on research and development), and the research concluded the great developmental role of the banking industry to achieve sustainable development as well as the need to develop and provide credit for modern projects that support clean energy and green environment                                                                                             

Abstract

The research aims to identify the changes in the values of GDP in Jordan, which are accompanied by changes of production factors represented by physical capital and human capital after its development through spending on education, and to show what these indicators generate from important and clear effects on improving the productivity of capital elements. Which in turn contributes to economic growth, and that the weak productivity of the factors of production, labor and capital, weakens the role of the productive apparatus in increasing the growth rates of GDP. These variables have been analyzed based on the descriptive approach. The research found that there are large and fluctuating changes in the gross domestic product in Jordan, which were accompanied by changes in the values of physical capital and human capital after spending was made on educating human cadres in Jordan and making them more effective and more contributing to increasing production rates and thus raising the growth rates of GDP. Overall, the development of physical capital by taking advantage of the increases in national income and raising the percentage of spending on education from the national income for the purpose of developing human capital in order to increase the productivity of the production elements and increase the rates of economic growth in Jordan

Abstract

Today, The World is living in a state of economic stagnation caused by the emerging (COVID-19), and the impact of the health crisis, as a result of preventive measures, has extended to the total closure and almost complete suspension of economic activities. This research aims to demonstrate the impact of the Corona pandemic (COVID-19) on supply chains, and the extent of the supply chain stumbling and its impact on the gross domestic product, as the research reached results, the most important of which is the presence of a clear stumble in supply chains, for the first and second quarters of the year (2020), which led To the decline in GDP and the volume of demand, and that agile supply chains can recover quickly from sudden setbacks, and as a result, the research recommends the need to modify supply chains to make them more flexible, and pay attention to the strategic level of risk management, as it is preferred for companies to reconsider the system and size of emergency stocks, to face A series of economic challenges resulting from abnormal conditions such as epidemics, or emerging infectious diseases such as the virus (COVID-19) and diversification of supply chains and storage systems practices.

Abstract

The paper examines the impact of the devaluation of Iraqi dinar in stimulating the gross domestic product, after the devaluation of Iraqi dinar at the end of 2020. In this context, empirical studies and international experiences have been used. Taking into consideration the rentier economy in Iraq and the dependence of the local market on imported goods in order to meet the aggregate demand.
The paper relies on official data and methods of economic analysis. The research problem represented by the weak effectiveness of the previous exchange rate policy in stimulating output and diversifying the Iraqi economy, as well as sacrificing foreign reserves and directing them towards the non-productive commercial sector.
The research concluded that stimulating the GDP through devaluation of Iraqi currency requires the availability of supportive and prudent fiscal and trade policies in the medium and long term. The paper recommends addressing the short-term inflationary effects created by a policy of devaluation of the exchange rate

Abstract

This study examines the relationship between financial liberalization policy and its impact on economic growth in Iraq, spanning the Period 2004-2023. Drawing on a combination of time-series econometric analysis and policy review, the research examines key dimensions of liberalization, including interest rate deregulation, capital account openness, and banking sector reform. The findings reveal a nuanced relationship: a long-term, positive relationship between the indicators (the basic interest rate, the ratio of domestic credit provided to the private sector to GDP, and inflation) and GDP in Iraq during the study period. Meanwhile, the long-term relationship was negative, as indicated by the ratio of foreign direct investment to GDP. Therefore, Iraq's economic policy needs to promote greater liberalization of foreign direct investment. It is also important to adopt a balanced monetary policy that helps control inflation rates and interest rates, thus activating its positive role in financial liberalization policy 

Abstract

The aim of the research is to study the impact of some macroeconomic variables in China represented by investment with local capital , foreign investment, Gross Domestic Products(GDP) , rate of inflation and economic growth rate and the exchange rate in dollars in foreign trade represented by exports and imports, (Industry and services) for the period 2000-2019, by adopting standard analysis where the gradual multiple linear regression was analyzed of the role of some variables in the economy in the growth of Foreign Trade Ministry in China during the time period above. The research reached the following results:
(1)-There is a significant indicative role for the two variables of investment in domestic capital and foreign investment in the development of foreign trade movement. (2)-There is no significant indicative role for the exchange rate variation, the rate of inflation, and economic growth in the development of foreign trade. (3)-There is a significant indicative role for the variable (GDP )in the development of the movement of Foreign trade in China, if it is adapted independently away from the suggested changes in the research, as its impact is clear on China imports and then exports.(4)-There is an investment increase in domestic capital and foreign trade movement in China.(5)-There is relative stability in foreign investment.(6)-There is a decline in the rate of economic growth to the (GDP) between 2000- 2019 as well as the exchange rate of the dollar against the Chinese Yuan. And the research presented several proposals, including the importance of studying the impact of foreign trade from exports, imports, by sector: industrial, agricultural, medical, technology, and the role of the foreign trade in China in the world countries’ economies, especially the European Union and UAS.

Abstract

The research includes both theoretical and practical aspects. The study aims to analyze and measure the relationship between public spending (the approved variable) and the explanatory variables in Malaysia during the time period (1990-2020) by using the Autoregressive Distributed Time Gaps (ARDL) methodology using Time Series Data during the study period. In order to achieve this goal, the theoretical aspect of public spending and its components and limits of public spending was shortened, with the presentation of the economic effects of government spending. In addition to clarifying the relationship between economic variables and public spending in Malaysia, then presenting and analyzing the results of quantitative measurement. The research reached many results, the most prominent of which was the existence of a positive significant relationship between government spending and the variables of total fixed capital formation, public debt and population. And a significant inverse relationship between the dependent variable government spending and GDP growth. As a result of these results that emerged from the standard analysis of the model, it is worthwhile for the study country to adopt ways and methods to reduce government spending rates within the limits of public revenues available to each country. The research aims to analyze the impact of macroeconomic variables on government spending, as well as to evaluate the behavior of government spending in Malaysia.

Abstract

The economy faces accumulated challenges, including high unemployment rates, particularly among young people, and the weak contribution of non-oil sectors to GDP, in addition to economic fluctuations related to oil prices. The research problem lies in the structural challenges that the Iraqi economy suffers from, most notably high unemployment rates, weak economic diversification, and excessive dependence on the oil sector, which has negatively affected the sustainability of economic growth. The research aims to demonstrate the role of foreign direct investment in stimulating unemployment and economic growth. The descriptive analytical method was used to reach the research results, which led to a number of conclusions, the most important of which is that foreign direct investment is one of the important tools for supporting economic growth in Iraq, as it provides capital flows that contribute to increasing productive capacity and improving GDP rates, especially in non-oil productive sectors. It also contributes to creating direct and indirect job opportunities through the establishment of new projects and the expansion of existing activities. The researchers recommend working to improve the investment environment by strengthening political and security stability, simplifying administrative procedures, combating corruption, and developing the legal framework regulating investment in a way that ensures the protection of investors and at the same time achieves the national interest.

Abstract

The study aimed to analyze indicators of financial discipline and measure the effects of those indicators on monetary stability in the Iraqi economy, based on quarterly data for a time series for the period (2004-2020), through the use of cointegration methodology and the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) after Performing a time series quiescence test (KPSS). A long and positive relationship between indicators of financial discipline (debt ratio to GDP, foreign reserves and money supply to GDP) and monetary stability. The study recommended the need to adhere to the rules of financial discipline to maintain the exchange rate by increasing the domestic production base, increasing non-oil exports and reducing dependence on the currency selling window that drains foreign reserves, as well as the need to switch to (E-government), which aims to achieve financial discipline within the country, Enhancing the exchange rate of the Iraqi dinar and enhancing the competitiveness of non-oil sectors such as industry and agriculture in increasing Iraqi exports.

Abstract

The economy faces accumulated challenges, including high unemployment rates, particularly among young people, and the weak contribution of non-oil sectors to GDP, in addition to economic fluctuations related to oil prices. The research problem lies in the structural challenges that the Iraqi economy suffers from, most notably high unemployment rates, weak economic diversification, and excessive dependence on the oil sector, which has negatively affected the sustainability of economic growth. The research aims to demonstrate the role of foreign direct investment in stimulating unemployment and economic growth. The descriptive analytical method was used to reach the research results, which led to a number of conclusions, the most important of which is that foreign direct investment is one of the important tools for supporting economic growth in Iraq, as it provides capital flows that contribute to increasing productive capacity and improving GDP rates, especially in non-oil productive sectors. It also contributes to creating direct and indirect job opportunities through the establishment of new projects and the expansion of existing activities. The researchers recommend working to improve the investment environment by strengthening political and security stability, simplifying administrative procedures, combating corruption, and developing the legal framework regulating investment in a way that ensures the protection of investors and at the same time achieves the national interest.

Abstract

The study aimed to identify the impact of financial policy tools in achieving economic growth and to show the most important causes and factors of imbalances in the performance of financial policies in Sudan. The problem of the study was mainly represented in the financial imbalance represented by the deficit in the general budget resulting from the huge difference between public revenues and public expenditures, in addition to the ineffectiveness of financial policy tools, which led to an excessive expansion in printing more new money, and this led to a rise in the general level of prices (inflation), which was reflected in the slowdown in economic growth rates, The importance of the study stems from the urgent and pressing need to research this modern topic and the fact that its results and recommendations are of benefit to researchers, academics and decision-makers, The study followed the descriptive analytical approach, the historical approach, the inductive approach, and the statistical approach, The study came out with a number of results, the most important of which are: The results of estimating the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model in the long run showed the existence of statistically significant relationships between GDP growth and each of taxes, public spending, and public debt. It became clear that both public revenues (taxes) and public spending have significant and positive effects on economic growth in the long run, The study presented a number of recommendations, including: the necessity of enhancing the growth of the gross domestic product and making it high and sustainable by increasing production and productivity of the economic sectors (agricultural, industrial, service) Expanding and diversifying the tax base to increase public revenues, meet the increase in public spending, and control and rationalize government spending so as not to create a large deficit in the general budget Public debt management is being pursued in two parallel directions: the first is to find optimal ways to repay the debt, while not resorting to indebtedness except when absolutely necessary, and the second is to reach the point of completion in accordance with the HIPC initiative.

Abstract

The United Arab Emirates has established a distinguished economic and social model characterized by its ability to keep pace with rapid technological and digital transformations, as well as its continuous expansion in investment and development activities. Despite this progress, the UAE remains vulnerable to fluctuations resulting from global economic crises, including the COVID-19 pandemic, which had a substantial impact on financial markets, liquidity levels, and capital mobility.

  This study examines the structural characteristics of the UAE economy and its development policies through key macroeconomic indicators, namely gross domestic product (GDP), the inflation rate, and the public debt ratio. It then analyzes the impact of the COVID-19 crisis on the UAE banking system by focusing on Emirates NBD Bank and First Abu Dhabi Bank, based on selected financial indicators, including net profit, return on assets (ROA), and return on equity (ROE).                                                                                          

              Among the most important conclusions reached by the study is that the COVID-19 crisis revealed the resilience and efficiency of the UAE banking sector in dealing with the pandemic and achieving an early recovery. This resilience contributed to financial stability and superior profitability for both banks. However, the pace and nature of recovery differed between the two institutions. Emirates NBD Bank achieved the highest levels of profitability and return on assets, while First Abu Dhabi Bank maintained steady growth, reflecting the adoption of a long-term risk management strategy. This diversity in banks’ policies contributes to the creation of a balanced banking system capable of effectively coping with crisis.                                                                          

           As for the key recommendations, the study emphasizes the need to strengthen the role of the banking sector in raising public awareness, as well as monitoring the damages suffered by customers in the aftermath of crises, giving due consideration to their interests, and ensuring the protection of their rights through a comprehensive set of regulatory and supportive measures.     

Abstract

Private investment is the cornerstone of building the economies of developed and developing countries by supporting productive activities and increasing economic growth and development. This research aims to identify the positive impact of the private sector on improving the Iraqi economy and increasing the gross domestic product (GDP), which is reflected in reduced unemployment and poverty, especially during years of financial and economic crises. Despite the problems facing the private sector and its low investment, it remains the primary driver of economic growth. Given the importance of the topic, the research aims to identify the impact of private investment on economic growth in Iraq for the period (2004-2022) using advanced standard methods and approaches, including unit root tests, cointegration, the error correction model (ECM), and the immediate response function. The study found a relationship between private investment and economic growth in the short term, and an inverse relationship in the long term.

Abstract

This research provides an in-depth analysis of the impact of fiscal policy on achieving inclusive growth in both Algeria and Saudi Arabia during the period 2004-2024. It focuses on key fiscal policy instruments such as public spending, public revenues, and the sectoral distribution of GDP, aiming to identify successful fiscal measures and explore their potential application in developing Iraq's economic experience. The research employs a comparative analysis methodology, examining the financial and economic performance of both countries and comparing it to the Iraqi economic reality based on long-term official data. The analysis emphasizes the relationship between fiscal expansion, diversification of the production base, and improvements in social indicators. The results indicate that Saudi Arabia achieved greater progress in achieving inclusive growth based on diversifying the production base and expanding financial inclusion, while Algeria focused on the social dimension of its fiscal policy, leading to improved income distribution and reduced poverty, but with limited economic diversification. The study concludes by presenting an Iraq within the framework of an integrated financial and developmental reform that takes into account justice, efficiency and sustainability.

Abstract

The aim of the research is to identify the external determinants of the performance of the banking sector, represented by growth rate in gross domestic product (GGDP) and inflation (I), and the internal determinants represented by size (S), operational efficiency (OE) and financial intermediation (FM) for the period (1996 to 2017), in some of the Arabic countries represented by (Egypt, Jordan, Saudi Arabia, the Emirates). To reach this goal, cross-sectional time-series models (Pooled regression model, fixed effects model, random effects model) were used. These models were compared using the restricted F test and Hausman's test, and it was found that the random effects model is the appropriate model to represent the relationship between the research variables.The results of the research revealed that there was no effect of the external determinants (growth in GDP and inflation) and financial intermediation as one of the internal determinants on the performance of banking sectors, expressed in return on capital (ROE), because the relationship between these variables was not significant, in addition to the existence of a negative impact of a significant indication of the volume on the performance of the banking sectors and a positive impact with a significant effect of the operational efficiency on the performance of that sector. The research recommended the necessity for the supervisory and supervisory authorities to pay special attention to size and operational efficiency for their clear impact on the performance of the banking sectors, the research sample.

Abstract

This research paper aims to analyze and measure the impact of Financial Technology (FinTech) spread on enhancing tax collection performance and mitigating tax evasion in Iraq over the period 2018–2022. The study adopts both descriptive-analytical and econometric approaches. A composite index—the Digital Financial Services Spread Index (DFSDI)—was constructed as the independent variable based on the density of Automated Teller Machines (ATMs), Point of Sale (POS) terminals, and Point of Card (POC) payment devices, using the Min-Max normalization method. Tax collection performance (the dependent variable) was measured indirectly through the ratio of tax revenues to non-oil Gross Domestic Product (GDP). The empirical results using Pearson correlation analysis and Simple Linear Regression showed no statistically significant relationship or impact of the DFSDI index on the tax collection ratio at a significance level of )alpha = 0.05( The correlation coefficient was )r = -0.541( with a )p-value of 0.346(, and the coefficient of determination was )R2 = 0.293( with an statistically insignificant slope coefficient of )beta = -2.297( (p=0.346). Consequently, the null hypothesis (H0) was not rejected. The economic interpretation suggests that while the expansion of digital financial services infrastructure serves as an enabling tool, it does not automatically translate into improved tax collection without direct integration and electronic linkage with tax administration processes such as e-invoicing, e-filing, automated tax payments, and database cross-checking—alongside limitations imposed by the short time series. The paper concludes that FinTech adoption must be part of a comprehensive tax reform strategy incorporating direct digitalization and institutional integration

Abstract

The research aims to address a fundamental issue related to the impact of Islamic finance on economic development. Islamic finance has witnessed a significant increase in the volume of its financial transactions, especially after the global crisis of 2008, making it a key source for financing various economic activities and driving growth in many countries. Islamic banks were selected as the focus of the study because they represent the core component of the Islamic financial industry in Iraq.

The research adopts the inductive approach by focusing on the development of the Islamic banking sector in Iraq, its various patterns, and its impact on economic development. The development of the Islamic banking sector is expressed through a set of indicators (total assets and financing volume), while economic development is measured through the non-oil GDP indicator. The data cover the period (2013–2022).

The study concludes that there is a statistically significant positive effect of credit volume on economic development, while no impact of total assets in Islamic banks on economic development was found. The researcher recommends the need to develop the operational mechanisms of Islamic banks in a manner that ensures strengthening their positive impact on economic development.

Abstract

The research aims to test the effect of the foreign direct investment rate, inflation rate, government spending rate, population growth, GDP growth, the degree of trade openness, and the corruption risk index on the youth unemployment rate in African countries. Although youth unemployment rates in African countries are not among the highest rates in the world, it remains a problem that requires serious consideration in addressing it as it is considered a major factor in political instability. The research adopted the method of multiple linear regression and panel data for the period 1990-2019 for sixteen African countries for which the required data for the research were available: Zimbabwe, Uganda, Rwanda, Niger, Senegal, Mozambique, Nigeria, Central Africa, Tanzania, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Ghana, Mali, Kenya Angola, Cameroon. It was concluded that foreign direct investment ratio was negatively affects the youth unemployment rate. While the effect of government spending, population growth and corruption risk index (decreased risk of corruption) was positive. No significant effect of economic growth, inflation rate, and trade openness has been demonstrated on the youth unemployment rate in African countries.

Abstract

This research aims to analyze the asymmetric impact of the Global Innovation Index (GII) on Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth in South Korea over the period (2004–2024). It further explores the potential for adapting this experience within the economies of Iraq, Egypt, and Jordan. Utilizing a Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (NARDL) model, the study examines the dynamics of this relationship in both the short and long runs. The empirical findings reveal a nonlinear cointegration relationship, indicating that the South Korean economy exhibits hyper-sensitivity toward negative innovation shocks. Specifically, a 1% negative shock in innovation leads to a growth contraction of approximately 1.65%, whereas the growth response to positive shocks does not exceed 0.33%. Furthermore, CUSUM and CUSUMQ tests confirmed the structural stability of the model over two decades. The research concludes that the innovation gap in the studied Arab countries necessitates policies that support innovation budgets to ensure the stability of structural growth parameters, independent of fluctuations in traditional sectors.

Abstract

This study examined the impact of a rentier economy on the independence of monetary policy in Iraq after 2004, considering Iraq as a rentier state that relies heavily on oil revenues. The study included an analysis of the relationship between the rentier economy and monetary policy, as well as the effects of the rentier economy on the independence of monetary policy. It found that dependence on oil to finance public expenditures leads to a reduction in monetary policy independence.

The results showed that the rentier economy has a significant impact on the independence of monetary policy in Iraq, and that there is a pressing need to diversify the economy and reduce reliance on oil in order to mitigate the risks arising from fluctuations in oil prices, which affect state revenues. Consequently, when the government faces a deficit, it compels the central bank to adopt an expansionary monetary policy to finance this deficit, which in turn undermines monetary policy independence.

The study reached a number of conclusions and recommendations that the researcher believes are aimed at strengthening the independence of monetary policy in rentier states.