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Arabic

Search Results for rentier-economy

Article
Monetary policy and the problem of its independence in Iraq after 2004

Halima Al-Dulaimi, Mohammed Hassan

Pages: 153-168

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Abstract

This study examined the impact of a rentier economy on the independence of monetary policy in Iraq after 2004, considering Iraq as a rentier state that relies heavily on oil revenues. The study included an analysis of the relationship between the rentier economy and monetary policy, as well as the effects of the rentier economy on the independence of monetary policy. It found that dependence on oil to finance public expenditures leads to a reduction in monetary policy independence.

The results showed that the rentier economy has a significant impact on the independence of monetary policy in Iraq, and that there is a pressing need to diversify the economy and reduce reliance on oil in order to mitigate the risks arising from fluctuations in oil prices, which affect state revenues. Consequently, when the government faces a deficit, it compels the central bank to adopt an expansionary monetary policy to finance this deficit, which in turn undermines monetary policy independence.

The study reached a number of conclusions and recommendations that the researcher believes are aimed at strengthening the independence of monetary policy in rentier states.

Article
Analysis of the relationship between oil shocks and the government budget in Saudi Arabia for the period 1990-2019

هاشم Al-Argoob, عدي Al-Rashidi

Pages: 188-198

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Abstract

The importance of the subject in estimating the impact of sudden oil shocks over decades since the early seventies of the twentieth century until now was the motive in choosing it, and naturally when oil prices are low, this will be reflected in the government's financial decisions. The research problem revolves around dependence on oil revenues mainly and the weakness of other sectors such as agriculture in financing the government budget in Saudi Arabia, which raises the following question: It is to what extent these countries can absorb those oil shocks and contain them through an appropriate fiscal policy. The research relied on the hypothesis that tracking the paths of oil shocks had clear repercussions in government budget decisions, which prompted Saudi Arabia to follow appropriate financial methods and means to contain the government budget deficit. One of the main objectives of the research is to show the risks of oil shocks on financial conditions in creating surpluses or deficits in these financial conditions for government budgets, and the research relied on the analytical method to prove its hypothesis to show the trends of these shocks. The research reached a number of results, including that oil is and is still one of the most important drivers of political and economic developments, and many believe that it is the determinant of these developments. Accordingly, the research recommended: to work on diversifying the Saudi economy in order to move from a rentier economy to an economy with strong pillars based on the development of service, agricultural, industrial and production sectors, in order to reduce the severity of negative oil shocks on the Saudi economy, and the need to choose appropriate methods for investment Correct oil revenue.

Article
The relative importance of the current account in the balance of payments in terms of the external dimensions of structural imbalance with reference to Iraq

هجير Zaki, ضحى Mahmoud

Pages: 78-90

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Abstract

This research seeks to address by analyzing the symmetrical imbalances between the economy and the status of the current account and what is implied by the significance of the relative importance of the current account in the balance of payments on the one hand within the framework of the internal / external overlap of developing economies in general and  Iraq , as a case study  to examine the extent of the reflection of the local economic structure on the characteristics of the current account

There are types of imbalances in the balance of payments related to the structural characteristics of the economy i, meaning that they represent a reflection of the imbalance in its production structures, and this imbalance, namely, in the current account takes a directional turn over a long time period related to the process of economic development and its success or failure in achieving the required structural changes

The research concluded that its hypothesis is correct as far as it is concerned with Iraq and that there is a symmetry between the internal/external structural imbalance that has deteriorated in the current account, especially the trade balance, and this imbalance has taken a hidden form as a surplus in the case of the rentier economy.  It concluded that economic administration has no choice but to restructure the Iraqi economy in favor of other production sectors, as well as financing and rehabilitating infrastructure projects, in addition to striving to attract foreign investment and working to expand production capacities and reduce dependence on oil as a main source of national income.

Article
Requirements for the impact of the devaluation of Iraqi dinar exchange on stimulating GDP

Ehsan Ashoor, Maytham Ismael

Pages: 39-50

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Abstract

The paper examines the impact of the devaluation of Iraqi dinar in stimulating the gross domestic product, after the devaluation of Iraqi dinar at the end of 2020. In this context, empirical studies and international experiences have been used. Taking into consideration the rentier economy in Iraq and the dependence of the local market on imported goods in order to meet the aggregate demand.
The paper relies on official data and methods of economic analysis. The research problem represented by the weak effectiveness of the previous exchange rate policy in stimulating output and diversifying the Iraqi economy, as well as sacrificing foreign reserves and directing them towards the non-productive commercial sector.
The research concluded that stimulating the GDP through devaluation of Iraqi currency requires the availability of supportive and prudent fiscal and trade policies in the medium and long term. The paper recommends addressing the short-term inflationary effects created by a policy of devaluation of the exchange rate

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Entrepreneurship Journal for Finance and Business

College of Business Economics at Al-Nahrain University

Print ISSN: 2708-8790 | Online ISSN: 2709-4251

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