Search Results for macroeconomic-variables
Abstract
This paper examined the channels by which the effect of monetary policy is transmitted to macroeconomics in Iraq using one of the dynamic random general equilibrium models (DSGE, smets and wouters 2007). The study shows a general equilibrium model and analyzes precisely the channels of impact transmission and their effects, via a range of instruments used by the monetary authority through the mechanism of transmission of the effect of Iraqi monetary policy to some macroeconomic variables. This is illustrated by inflation targeting through the nominal fixed (exchange rate) through the foreign currency sale window , and the reason for using the exchange rate as a nominal constant is due to the financial shallowness suffered by the Iraqi economy and the separation of monetary behavior from the real behavior in the economy, as well as the absence of focus on a direction to the potential output (the level of natural unemployment rate), which led to the weakness of the impact of the Iraqi central tools in macroeconomic variables without monetary variables, and the research reached the effectiveness of the exchange rate channel without other channels to transmit the impact of monetary policy to the macroeconomic variables in Iraq, and this is what made the monetary authority stick to a policy The window of selling foreign currency for its ability to control liquidity levels and sterilize the economy from the undisciplined economic policies of the macroeconomic management partners in Iraq.
Abstract
The aim of the research is to study the impact of some macroeconomic variables in China represented by investment with local capital , foreign investment, Gross Domestic Products(GDP) , rate of inflation and economic growth rate and the exchange rate in dollars in foreign trade represented by exports and imports, (Industry and services) for the period 2000-2019, by adopting standard analysis where the gradual multiple linear regression was analyzed of the role of some variables in the economy in the growth of Foreign Trade Ministry in China during the time period above. The research reached the following results:
(1)-There is a significant indicative role for the two variables of investment in domestic capital and foreign investment in the development of foreign trade movement. (2)-There is no significant indicative role for the exchange rate variation, the rate of inflation, and economic growth in the development of foreign trade. (3)-There is a significant indicative role for the variable (GDP )in the development of the movement of Foreign trade in China, if it is adapted independently away from the suggested changes in the research, as its impact is clear on China imports and then exports.(4)-There is an investment increase in domestic capital and foreign trade movement in China.(5)-There is relative stability in foreign investment.(6)-There is a decline in the rate of economic growth to the (GDP) between 2000- 2019 as well as the exchange rate of the dollar against the Chinese Yuan. And the research presented several proposals, including the importance of studying the impact of foreign trade from exports, imports, by sector: industrial, agricultural, medical, technology, and the role of the foreign trade in China in the world countries’ economies, especially the European Union and UAS.
Abstract
Foreign trade is an important component of any country's economy because it reflects the extent of the interdependence of this country, the extent of its relations with the countries of the other world, the extent to which mutual benefits are, achieved between these countries and the relative advantages achieved for each country. The customs tariff, as a financial and protectionist tool, has an important role in influencing the balance of payments through the trade balance. Any country that suffers from a deficit in the trade balance, especially developing countries due to the high volume of imports over exports, resorts to the customs tariff because it is the easiest and safest tool to treat this deficit whose effects on The balance of payments as well as the amount of existing foreign exchange reserves to be able to fill the deficit in the remaining balance of payments accounts, such as the financial account, for example,
There is no doubt that the customs tariff exerts an indirect influence on the movement of local investments by giving allowances or emphasizing the import of raw materials or by imposing high tariffs on foreign investors so that the local investor can protect himself and secure his investments inside the country, and this was reversed in a hypothetical indicator To clarify the effect of the tariff on these investments, the research reached an important conclusion, which is the weak effect of the customs tariff on the overall macroeconomic variables due to the weak awareness of the economic authority of the importance of this element and that the trade openness had a negative impact on foreign trade, the expansion of the import structure, and the stability of the structure of exports. The recommendations stipulated in the research is to activate the social and economic role of the tariff by directing customs revenues towards supporting and strengthening the economic sectors to confront foreign competition
Abstract
The research aimed to shed light on the most important reasons that led to the spread of expatriate workers in Iraq and their role in economic, development. The problem of the research was to know the most important reasons for the movement of expatriate workers and how this labor affects economic activity. The research hypothesis was that expatriate workers have impacts, whether Positive or negative on many macroeconomic variables such as employment, unemployment, and gross domestic product. The research was determined spatially in Iraq and for the period between 2013-2022. The research relied on the inductive approach based on the descriptive method. The most important conclusions reached by the research were the acquisition of expatriate workers on Most of the job opportunities are available in Iraq, especially after the openness that Iraq witnessed after 2003 AD, and employers have sought help from them significantly due to their low wages and the ability to work long hours compared to Iraqi workers. The most important recommendations were the necessity of developing laws that control the income of these workers, and imposing an income tax because a large portion of the income of these workers is transferred to their homes, which negatively affects the Iraqi economy.
Abstract
The research aims to test the effect of the foreign direct investment rate, inflation rate, government spending rate, population growth, GDP growth, the degree of trade openness, and the corruption risk index on the youth unemployment rate in African countries. Although youth unemployment rates in African countries are not among the highest rates in the world, it remains a problem that requires serious consideration in addressing it as it is considered a major factor in political instability. The research adopted the method of multiple linear regression and panel data for the period 1990-2019 for sixteen African countries for which the required data for the research were available: Zimbabwe, Uganda, Rwanda, Niger, Senegal, Mozambique, Nigeria, Central Africa, Tanzania, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Ghana, Mali, Kenya Angola, Cameroon. It was concluded that foreign direct investment ratio was negatively affects the youth unemployment rate. While the effect of government spending, population growth and corruption risk index (decreased risk of corruption) was positive. No significant effect of economic growth, inflation rate, and trade openness has been demonstrated on the youth unemployment rate in African countries.
Abstract
The research includes both theoretical and practical aspects. The study aims to analyze and measure the relationship between public spending (the approved variable) and the explanatory variables in Malaysia during the time period (1990-2020) by using the Autoregressive Distributed Time Gaps (ARDL) methodology using Time Series Data during the study period. In order to achieve this goal, the theoretical aspect of public spending and its components and limits of public spending was shortened, with the presentation of the economic effects of government spending. In addition to clarifying the relationship between economic variables and public spending in Malaysia, then presenting and analyzing the results of quantitative measurement. The research reached many results, the most prominent of which was the existence of a positive significant relationship between government spending and the variables of total fixed capital formation, public debt and population. And a significant inverse relationship between the dependent variable government spending and GDP growth. As a result of these results that emerged from the standard analysis of the model, it is worthwhile for the study country to adopt ways and methods to reduce government spending rates within the limits of public revenues available to each country. The research aims to analyze the impact of macroeconomic variables on government spending, as well as to evaluate the behavior of government spending in Malaysia.
Abstract
The research evaluated the performance of the Iraqi economy for the period 1991-2021, and the extent of the success of the fiscal and monetary policies in achieving the desired goals, by analyzing the developments that occurred in the main macroeconomic variables included in the Kaldor square (economic growth rate, foreign trade balance, inflation rate, Unemployment rate), and an attempt to determine the causes of these developments and the circumstances surrounding them, and then compare them with the optimal goals specified in the Kaldor square to show the extent to which they have been achieved. The research was based on the hypothesis that the macroeconomic performance in Iraq during the aforementioned period is far from the possibility of achieving the combined goals of the Kaldor square, and even if they were partially achieved, they would not be economically meaningful. To complete the research steps, the descriptive analytical method was adopted to study and analyze the developments that occurred in the variables under study. Among the challenges that the researcher faced during the study was the scarcity or inaccuracy of data related to the case study. The researcher reached a number of conclusions, the most prominent of which was proving the validity of the research hypothesis. The most prominent recommendations were the necessity of diversifying the economy and reducing dependence on oil, as well as reconsidering the central bank’s policy to achieve price stability by taking the competitiveness of local products into account.