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Search Results for imports

Article
Measuring and analyzing the impact of exchange rate fluctuations on imports in Iraq for the period (2004 - 2023)

Taleeaa Ibrahim, Hozan Hmeed, Khorsheed Mohammed

Pages: 153-167

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Abstract

Foreign trade is one of the basic sectors of any country's economy. It is of great importance in developing economic relations between countries worldwide, especially developed and developing countries, through the import and export of goods and services, both visible and invisible, and the movement of capital and gold trading. Foreign trade activities are usually carried out through the mechanism of linking the exchange rate of the local currency to foreign currencies. The importance of this study lies in highlighting the fluctuations in the exchange rate of the Iraqi dinar against a basket of foreign currencies, especially the US dollar. These fluctuations directly affect the economy in general and the costs of importing goods and services in particular. This study aims to measure and analyze the impact of exchange rate fluctuations on Iraqi imports for the period 2004–2023. To achieve the study objective, the study relied on time series data and used the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model to analyze the relationship between the dependent and explanatory variables in the long and short term. The study found a statistically significant positive relationship at the 5% level between the exchange rate and imports in the long term, which means that the rise in exchange rates in Iraq led to an increase in the volume of imports during the study period. based on these results, the study recommends the need to create a stable economic environment for the exchange rate of the Iraqi dinar against foreign currencies, especially the US dollar, in addition to strengthening the role of the Central Bank of Iraq in controlling the official and parallel exchange rates to limit their negative impact on the increase in consumer imports.

Article
Measuring and analyzing the impact of some macroeconomics variables on the foreign trade in China during the period between 2000 - 2019

Khalid Shihab, Fouad Hassan, Muthanna Mhmood

Pages: 93-107

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Abstract

The aim of the research is to study the impact of some macroeconomic variables in China represented by investment with local capital , foreign investment, Gross Domestic Products(GDP) , rate of inflation and economic growth rate and the exchange rate in dollars in foreign trade represented by exports and imports, (Industry and services) for the period 2000-2019, by adopting standard analysis where the gradual multiple linear regression was analyzed of the role of some variables in the economy in the growth of Foreign Trade Ministry in China during the time period above. The research reached the following results:
(1)-There is a significant indicative role for the two variables of investment in domestic capital and foreign investment in the development of foreign trade movement. (2)-There is no significant indicative role for the exchange rate variation, the rate of inflation, and economic growth in the development of foreign trade. (3)-There is a significant indicative role for the variable (GDP )in the development of the movement of Foreign trade in China, if it is adapted independently away from the suggested changes in the research, as its impact is clear on China imports and then exports.(4)-There is an investment increase in domestic capital and foreign trade movement in China.(5)-There is relative stability in foreign investment.(6)-There is a decline in the rate of economic growth to the (GDP) between 2000- 2019 as well as the exchange rate of the dollar against the Chinese Yuan. And the research presented several proposals, including the importance of studying the impact of foreign trade from exports, imports, by sector: industrial, agricultural, medical, technology, and the role of the foreign trade in China in the world countries’ economies, especially the European Union and UAS.

Article
The relationship between the budget deficit and the nominal exchange rate in Iraq for the period (2019-1990)

اوس Elguigati, رغيد Alhadidi

Pages: 263 - 274

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Abstract

 In many economic relations, there are correlations between variables that affect each other, including the reciprocal relationship between the budget deficit and exchange rate fluctuations, especially in developing countries, including Iraq, which suffer from problems in the general budget that may be chronic, and this deficit is caused by continuing In increasing public expenditures in exchange for a decrease in public revenues, especially that the Iraqi economy is almost completely dependent on the oil sector, And due to the fluctuation of oil prices and its impact on the volume of imports, which negatively affected the state’s general budget, the study included three main sections. The first topic represents the theoretical framework of the exchange rate and the public budget deficit, and the second topic is the relationship between the exchange rate and the general budget deficit in Iraq for the period (1990-2019). While the third topic dealt with the standard analysis of the relationship between the two variables mentioned above, the study concluded that there is a one-way causal relationship between the two variables of the model, where the exchange rate is due to a deficit in the public budget in the long term

Article
The economic effects of tariffs in the Iraqi economy after 2003

رسل Fahdel, عبير Jassim

Pages: 32-48

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Abstract

Foreign trade is an important component of any country's economy because it reflects the extent of the interdependence of this country, the extent of its relations with the countries of the other world, the extent to which mutual benefits are, achieved between these countries and the relative advantages achieved for each country. The customs tariff, as a financial and protectionist tool, has an important role in influencing the balance of payments through the trade balance. Any country that suffers from a deficit in the trade balance, especially developing countries due to the high volume of imports over exports, resorts to the customs tariff because it is the easiest and safest tool to treat this deficit whose effects on The balance of payments as well as the amount of existing foreign exchange reserves to be able to fill the deficit in the remaining balance of payments accounts, such as the financial account, for example,

There is no doubt that the customs tariff exerts an indirect influence on the movement of local investments by giving allowances or emphasizing the import of raw materials or by imposing high tariffs on foreign investors so that the local investor can protect himself and secure his investments inside the country, and this was reversed in a hypothetical indicator To clarify the effect of the tariff on these investments, the research reached an important conclusion, which is the weak effect of the customs tariff on the overall macroeconomic variables due to the weak awareness of the economic authority of the importance of this element and that the trade openness had a negative impact on foreign trade, the expansion of the import structure, and the stability of the structure of exports. The recommendations stipulated in the research is to activate the social and economic role of the tariff by directing customs revenues towards supporting and strengthening the economic sectors to confront foreign competition

Article
Commercial dumping in the Iraqi economy (causes and consequences)

منتظر Salih, عبير Jassim

Pages: 32-41

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Abstract

As a result of the transformation process that the Iraqi economy witnessed after 2003 towards the application of the market economy mechanism in line with the developments witnessed by the global economy in application of the policy of openness, which contributed to the emergence of the phenomenon of commercial dumping, which caused severe effects on the main sectors of the Iraqi economy (agricultural and industrial), which led to an increase  Inflation and unemployment rates and the increase in the tendency to consume, which is reflected in the increase in the volume of Iraqi imports after 2003 in the absence of legislation and laws that protect national products and regulate import operations as a result of the apparent weakness in the control bodies and the absence of the development plan for finding solutions to reduce the effects of the phenomenon of trade dumping

Article
Auction window for selling foreign currency and its role impacting the iraqi dinar exchange rate an analytical study for the period 2003-2021

حنان Mustafa, هجير Zaki

Pages: 124-136

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Abstract

The syudy aims to analyses the impact of the foreign exchange window on the exchange rate of the iraqi dinar for the period 2003-2021. rentier economies that suffer from inefficient traditional channels for the transfer of monetary policy to the real sector due to their disrupted economic structure and heavy dependence on imports to meet domestic demand apply direct instruments such as the foreign exchange window. the exchange rate is a critical tool used by the monetary authority to maintain price stability and target inflation. the foreign exchange sale window is an effective mean of directly affecting the exchange rate and is an interim tool for crossing a transitional period and ensuring monetary stability during this period. the research concluded that the foreign exchange window affects the exchange rate of the iraqi dinar and this effect was uneven during the study period. the results of the study showed that the exchange rate of the iraqi dinar responded to the monetary authoritys porcedures of employing part of the reserves to maintain its stability during the period 2003-2010 while the period 2011-2020 showed a weak response to the central bank interventions and thus higher gap between the nominal and parallel exchange rate.

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Entrepreneurship Journal for Finance and Business

College of Business Economics at Al-Nahrain University

Print ISSN: 2708-8790 | Online ISSN: 2709-4251

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