Search Results for gold
Abstract
Gold is a rare, limited, and highly liquid asset. However, it is a luxury commodity and therefore can be considered an investment opportunity. It is readily available and does not carry significant risks to its users. Furthermore, there are no associated credit risks. Given these characteristics, it is a highly significant asset and plays a fundamental role in investment portfolios. These characteristics increase investors' interest in including gold in their portfolios, especially during times of financial crises. If an investor decides to include gold in their investment portfolio, it is essential to evaluate the proportion of gold in the portfolio, taking into account risk, return, and diversification. This study attempts to test and prove the hypothesis: Does gold provide good diversification for an investment portfolio? Is gold an important asset in an investment portfolio? Do investment portfolios that include precious metals such as gold show a better performance rate than portfolios that do not contain them? In addition, the research focuses on building an optimal investment portfolio of stocks, an investment portfolio of gold and stocks, an investment portfolio of stocks and cryptocurrencies, an investment portfolio of cryptocurrencies and gold, and an investment portfolio of stocks, cryptocurrencies, and gold. The current research is the first Iraqi, Arab, and international research that includes gold in portfolios of stocks, currencies, and cryptocurrencies simultaneously. The research sample consisted of (21 stocks) listed on the Iraq Stock Exchange, and (21) global cryptocurrencies for the period from (January 2017 - September 2023). The research concluded that including gold in stock portfolios clearly improves their performance.
Abstract
The research aims to measure and analyze the correlations between the returns of the Iraq Stock Exchange index (RISX) and the returns of commodity markets represented by the returns of the OPEC oil market (ROPEC), the returns of 21-carat gold market (RPG21), and the returns of the wheat market (RPW)), relying on monthly data for the period from January 1, 2005 to December 31, 2023, and using the Dynamic Conditional Correlation-GARCH (DCC-GARCH) model. To determine the extent of the impact of the returns of the Iraq Stock Exchange index and commodity market indicators on conditional volatilities, and whether there is a dynamic conditional relationship between these markets, the results showed negative relationships between the returns of ROPEC, RPW and the returns of the Iraq Stock Exchange index (RISX). This relationship may provide investors with an opportunity to diversify their portfolios and reduce overall risks. There are also positive relationships between the returns of commodity markets on one hand, and between the returns of the Iraq Stock Exchange index (RISX) and the returns of the gold market (RPG21) on the other hand. And these links indicate that the returns of all these markets tend to move in the same direction, which means that investors may not achieve diversification benefits by investing in all of these markets at the same time. Therefore, it is necessary to increase the openness of the Iraqi stock market and to seek to enhance its information technology and transparency in order to increase the capacity and smoothness of information flow to and from the market, giving local and foreign investors and brokers more ability to hedge and predict the expected correlations and fluctuations in those markets.
Abstract
Foreign trade is one of the basic sectors of any country's economy. It is of great importance in developing economic relations between countries worldwide, especially developed and developing countries, through the import and export of goods and services, both visible and invisible, and the movement of capital and gold trading. Foreign trade activities are usually carried out through the mechanism of linking the exchange rate of the local currency to foreign currencies. The importance of this study lies in highlighting the fluctuations in the exchange rate of the Iraqi dinar against a basket of foreign currencies, especially the US dollar. These fluctuations directly affect the economy in general and the costs of importing goods and services in particular. This study aims to measure and analyze the impact of exchange rate fluctuations on Iraqi imports for the period 2004–2023. To achieve the study objective, the study relied on time series data and used the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model to analyze the relationship between the dependent and explanatory variables in the long and short term. The study found a statistically significant positive relationship at the 5% level between the exchange rate and imports in the long term, which means that the rise in exchange rates in Iraq led to an increase in the volume of imports during the study period. based on these results, the study recommends the need to create a stable economic environment for the exchange rate of the Iraqi dinar against foreign currencies, especially the US dollar, in addition to strengthening the role of the Central Bank of Iraq in controlling the official and parallel exchange rates to limit their negative impact on the increase in consumer imports.